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Most sports bettors believe that selecting the winning team (versus the pointspread) is the most important aspect to successful sports wagering. While this is the most difficult factor, it is only third in the order of importance. The top two components to long term profits are money management and shopping for line value. These are the two factors which professional bettors understand and amateurs overlook.
Shopping for Line Value
Shopping for line value simply means obtaining the best possible pointspread (or odds) on every wager you make. You must have two or more betting outlets in order to accomplish this feat. Today, there are numerous offshore betting facilities which provide the astute playe... cont.
(Team total runs)
Some sportsbooks have team totals posted for MLB games. If you have access to these lines, I do have a team total opinion for Tuesday night:
CHICAGO WHITE SOX (team) Under 4 runs
My pitcher performance ratings predict a solid outing by the Devil Rays’ James Shields after two rare bad performances. Despite allowing 11 runs in his past two outings, Shields still has an excellent 3.64 ERA and 1.022 WHIP (walks + hits per innings pitched) with a 89-19 strikeout/walk ratio in his fifteen starts this season.
STEVE MERRIL is a professional sports handicapper and a documented member of The Professional Handicappers League. Get his ... cont.
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Indianapolis Colts vs Dallas Cowboys
Going to follow line movement and the smart money downward in this game as this lined opened at 37 in some spots. The huge move is not surprising as all Week 1 and 2 preseason games with totals between 35˝ and 42 are on an astounding 53-18 UNDER run. While the line has dropped, we still get value above the key number of 34 and it wouldn't be a surprise if there was some late buyback by the public towards the Over in this nationally televised game.
Most early preseason games are boring and a bit sloppy and here we have two defensive minded head coaches that will want to really take a long look at some new personnel on that side of the ball. Both teams have some serious veteran offensive star power that won't be risked much in this game, while the defenses are a bit younger with something to prove.
After the obligatory series or two that the first-teamers will play, the backups will be in and this one should be a yawner. The backup QB rotations of 39 year old Brad Johnson (limited action), Baker, and Bartel for Dallas, along with Indy's trifecta of Sorgi, Betts, and Navarre seem to be two of the weaker slates of backups around and far less imposing than what we seen from a squad such as Pittsburgh last Sunday, for instance, in their strong performance. It just doesn’t appear either team will force the issue offensively tonight.
Play UNDER the total.
Pittsburgh Pirates vs Arizona Diamondbacks
The Pirates suffered a letdown yesterday after their underdog win on Tuesday night, but Pittsburgh should perform well tonight and they have an excellent chance of winning this three-game series as they qualify in a subset of my Underdog System.
My pitcher performance ratings predict a solid bounce-back effort from Pittsburgh’s Ian Snell who has struggled during the past three weeks and has an awful 9.00 ERA and 2.133 WHIP (walks + hits per innings pitched) in his past three starts. Despite his recent struggles, Snell has still pitched well this season and entered the All Star break with an excellent 2.93 ERA and 1.174 WHIP with a 93-33 strikeout/walk ratio and an 11-6 SU team record.
Meanwhile, Arizona’s Doug Davis is due for a correction after five straight quality starts. Despite his recent success, Davis still has a poor 1.579 WHIP in his twenty-three starts this year and his 73 total walks is the second worst mark in the league.
Play PIRATES (+) (action).
ABOUT Steve Merril
Steve Merril is considered one of the best sports analysts in the nation. He credits his success to employing a variety of different handicapping techniques such as statistical analysis, trends and systems, and fundamentals such as matchups and emotion. By relying on numerous handicapping methods, Steve continues to beat the pointspread on a consistent basis in both college and pro football, basketball, baseball, and auto racing.
Steve was the first person to ever win the prestigious $100,000 Insiders Handicapping Invitational and his unique knowledge and understanding of the gaming industry is what separates him from other handicappers. Steve has spent the past 15 years studying the odds and probabilities associated with all forms of gambling such as poker, casino games, and even the stock market. Steve has transferred this unique knowledge and understanding of statistics and probabilities into the sports world, which has enabled him to win on a consistent basis.
The most popular part of Steve Merril’s award-winning selections is the fact he backs each game with a full detailed report and analysis. You get a strong selection, plus the reason why the play will win. This includes detailed statistical analysis and Steve’s powerful team trends and super systems.
You will learn while you earn with Steve Merril’s daily selections as each report is packed full of detailed information. Join forces with the most knowledgeable gaming expert in the industry and have your most profitable season ever.
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