Ferringo - 08/09/2006
Since we've declared the
start of Betting Season - known to Republican
sympathizers and hacks as "Football Season"
- I think it is the appropriate time for some
fearless 2006 NFL predictions.
It's a tricky business
trying to estimate the win-loss records of each
team in The League. Especially given that we're
doing so before most teams have even begun their
preseason play. With so many variables, you'll
have to take my projections with a grain of
salt. Any injury or suspension either way could
alter the entire landscape of the league.
That being said, don't
mistake the following calculations as those
of a drunken sociopath with a ravenous meth
addiction and high-speed Internet. You wouldn't
be far off, but my appraisals are based on hours
of serious research and careful consideration.
You'll have to continue to check back on our
homepage for my individual team previews to
understand the reason behind my madness.
For instance, did you know
that only six of the 18 Wild Card teams since
the eight-division format was introduced in
2002 made the playoffs the following season?
I have three making it, meaning that I may be
off with Washington but am justified in not
I don't have two sheik
Super Bowl picks - New England and Cincinnati
- even making the playoffs. What? Am I joking?
No, actually I'm not. In the last 10 NFL seasons,
the average number of teams that make the postseason
the year after making the playoffs is exactly
six of 12. Fifty percent. In the last four years
only 23 of 48 clubs have forged repeat trips.
The highest number in one season is seven and
the lowest is four.
Basically, that means that
in each conference three teams step up and three
step down. It makes sense. Wins and losses in
the NFL are separated by the slimmest of margins.
So much hinges on one missed call, one dropped
ball or one crippling injury that sustained
success in a parity-driven league is elusive.
My prognostications have
seven returnees. That's being generous. Hell,
I'm being generous with all of my projections.
At least a couple teams will win 13 games, but
I have none. There will be more 4-12's and 3-13's
then I have also, but I'm giving teams like
Philadelphia and Oakland the benefit of the
But there is one thing
that I know I'm right about, even if I've slightly
missed the mark: there's always some club that
was 5-11 or 6-10 the prior season that surprises
everyone with a postseason run. Deny it all
you want, but it will happen. Either heed my
advice and start looking at the Texans and Lions
as serious sleepers or you can ride the sinking
ship with the Buccaneers and Giants.
My point is clear, but
just in case: EXPECT THE UNEXPECTED!! Just because
some team had its head up its ass last season
doesn't mean that they will do the same this
Look for angles, look for
value and FORGET about last year.
are my 2006 NFL Football predictions:
AFC East Predictions: Miami
(12-4), New England (9-7), Buffalo (4-12), New
AFC North Predictions: Pittsburgh (11-5), Baltimore
(10-6), Cleveland (6-10), Cincinnati (5-11)
AFC South Predictions: Indianapolis (12-4),
Houston (8-8), Jacksonville (8-8), Tennessee
AFC West Predictions: Denver (11-5), San Diego
(10-6), Kansas City (7-9), Oakland (6-10)
NFC East Predictions: Washington (11-5),
Dallas (9-7), New York (8-8), Philadelphia (7-9)
NFC North Predictions: Chicago (12-4), Detroit (10-6), Minnesota
(8-8), Green Bay (4-12)
NFC South Predictions: Carolina (12-4), Atlanta (9-7), Tampa
Bay (7-9), New Orleans (5-11)
NFC West Predictions: Seattle (10-6), Arizona (7-9), St.
Louis (7-9), San Francisco (3-13)
NFL Most Valuable Player Predictions:
Peyton Manning or Jake Delhomme
NFL Offensive Player of the Year Predictions: Manning
NFL Defensive Player of the Year Predictions: Shawne Merriman
or Julius Peppers
NFL Coach of the Year Predictions: Nick Saban
NFL Rookie of the Year Predictions: DeAngelo Williams
Doc Sports is a documented member of The Professional
Read more of his articles and get his premium