SUNDAY SELECTIONS

Matt Fargo takes a brief glance at each game this Sunday and offers some thoughts and trends.

SUNDAY FREE NFL PICKS - MINNESOTA AT CAROLINA 1 p.m.

After what looked to be a third straight blowout, the Vikings rallied and defeated the Packers to pull within a game of first place in the NFC North. Three of the next four games are on the road. Trendsetter: Minnesota is 4-13 ATS after playing a game at home over the last 3 seasons.

Carolina is off a bye following three straight wins, which came by a total of eight points. The Panthers are only a game out of first place in the NFC South with a game at first place Tampa Bay next week. Trendsetter: Carolina is 3-12 ATS (-10.2 Units) as a favorite of 3.5 to 9.5 points over the last 3 seasons.

SUNDAY FREE NFL PICKS - GREEN BAY AT CINCINNATI 1 p.m.

The Packers suffered another heartbreaking loss last week, its fourth loss by three points or less. Four of the Packers next five games are against teams with winning records so the season could be gone. Trendsetter: Green Bay is 10-2 Over off a road loss by 3 points or less since 1992.

The Bengals have dropped two of three after winning their first four games of the season but three of their next four games are at home with a bye sandwiched in there. Cincinnati has outgained five of seven foes. Trendsetter: Cincinnati is 6-0 Under in home games where the total is between 42.5 and 49 points over the last 2 seasons.

SUNDAY FREE NFL PICKS - ARIZONA AT DALLAS 1 p.m.

Arizona has averaged 23.7 ppg in its last three games after averaging 14.3 ppg in its first three games. The problem is that three of the Cardinals next four games are on the road where they are winless, losing by 24 ppg. Trendsetter: Arizona is 0-11 ATS in a road game where the total is between 35.5 and 42 points over the last 3 seasons.

Six of Dallas' seven games have been decided by six points or less, well surpassing the four games decided by that amount all of last season. Dallas is off next weekend so there will be no look ahead to the rematch with the Eagles. Trendsetter: Dallas is 13-4 ATS after allowing 99 or less rushing yards in 3 straight games since 1992.

SUNDAY FREE NFL PICKS - CHICAGO AT DETROIT 1 p.m.

The Bears have won two straight games, mostly with their defense that has held opponents to single digits in four of their six games. The offense has scored only 17 points in their two road games combined. Trendsetter: Chicago is 9-1 Under off a non-conference game over the last 3 seasons.

This marks the first of two division games for the Lions after playing four straight non-division games. The defense has been solid, holding three of their last four opponents to 17 points or less and ranked 9th in total defense. Trendsetter: Detroit is 7-0 ATS revenging a same season loss against opponent over the last 3 seasons.

SUNDAY FREE NFL PICKS - CLEVELAND AT HOUSTON 1 p.m.

The Browns defense has allowed only 13 ppg in their last four games but the offense has managed just 9.8 ppg. Cleveland has been outgained by 320 total yards in its last two games and has been outgained in 6 of 7 games. Trendsetter: Cleveland is 11-3 Under in road games off 1 or more consecutive unders over the last 2 seasons.

The Texans defense is not playing good, allowing 38 ppg over their last three games. This is Houston's best shot at a win in the near future as its next four games are against teams with a winning record. Trendsetter: Houston is 19-5 Under when they gain 150 or less net passing yards since 1992.

SUNDAY FREE NFL PICKS - OAKLAND AT TENNESSEE 1 p.m.

The Raiders had their biggest offensive output last Sunday and have now won two of three games. Five of their next seven games are on the road after playing three straight at home with a bye week sandwiched in. Trendsetter: Oakland is 4-13 ATS off 1 or more straight overs over the last 3 seasons.

Tennessee is 13th in the league in total defense yet the Titans are allowing 25.3 ppg as they have allowed 31 or more points four times. It has happened only once in their last three and both of those were on the road. Trendsetter: Tennessee is 3-12 ATS after having lost 2 out of their last 3 games over the last 3 seasons.

SUNDAY FREE NFL PICKS - WASHINGTON AT NEW YORK GIANTS 1 p.m.

Washington scored its most points since 1992 last Sunday and jumped up to 2nd in total offense in the NFL. The Redskins are just 1-2 on the road with the lone win coming in a late 4th quarter comeback against Dallas. Trendsetter: Washington is 8-0 Under after outgaining opponent by 200 or more yards in their previous game since 1992.

The Giants had a great comeback against the Broncos to keep pace in the NFC East. A win here is big with San Francisco and Minnesota on deck to possibly put a little space between them and Philadelphia before the 11/20 meeting. Trendsetter: NY Giants are 6-18 ATS after the first month of the season over the last 3 seasons.

SUNDAY FREE NFL PICKS - JACKSONVILLE AT ST. LOUIS 1 p.m.

The Jaguars have spaced themselves from the rest of the division but still trail the undefeated Colts by 2.5 games. Jacksonville has yet to allow more than 20 points on the season and catch a break with Marc Bulger being out this week. Trendsetter: Jacksonville is 25-9 Under off 2 or more overs since 1992.

St. Louis had a big come from behind win last week against New Orleans to avoid its fourth straight loss. The defense allowed less than 27 points for he first time in five games. A bye follows this game before Seattle. Trendsetter: St. Louis is 6-0 Over in non-conference games over the last 2 seasons.

SUNDAY FREE NFL PICKS - MIAMI AT NEW ORLEANS 4:05 p.m.

Miami has dropped three straight as the defense has allowed more points each time out. The Dolphins are 0-3 on the road and suffered their first home loss in the rescheduled game last Friday but are still only one game out in the East. Trendsetter: Miami is 2-10 ATS after allowing 25 points or more in 2 straight games since 1992.

The Saints have dropped three straight games as the defense has allowed 38 ppg over that span. New Orleans is 12th in total offense and 11th in total defense yet it has only two wins to show for it but one of those was at home. Trendsetter: New Orleans is 10-22 ATS in home games after having lost 5 out of 6 games since 1992.

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SUNDAY FREE NFL PICKS - KANSAS CITY AT SAN DIEGO 4:05 p.m.

The Chiefs have won two straight games to keep pace with the Broncos in the AFC West and a win provides a 2.5 game lead over the Chargers. Kansas City is 27th in total defense and it has allowed 27 ppg over the last four games. Trendsetter: Kansas City is 10-2 Over after having won 2 out of their last 3 games over the last 3 seasons.

The Chargers nearly had the win against the Eagles last Sunday but it slipped away and San Diego is back under .500. Every loss has come down to the final minute of the game and all four have been by a combined 12 points. Trendsetter: San Diego is 14-3 ATS after 1 or more consecutive wins against the spread over the last 2 seasons.

SUNDAY FREE NFL PICKS - PHILADELPHIA AT DENVER 4:15 p.m.

The Eagles stole one last Sunday which makes this a tough trip. It makes it even tougher knowing that three straight division games loom including two on the road and a home revenge game against the Cowboys. Trendsetter: Philadelphia is 13-3 Under in road games after 1 or more consecutive wins over the last 2 seasons.

The Broncos had their five-game winning streak snapped in dramatic fashion last week in New York and face a second straight NFC East foe. Denver has a bye next week and then three of four on the road including two divisional games. Trendsetter: Denver is 24-5 Over at home where the total is between 42.5 and 45 points since 1992.

SUNDAY FREE NFL PICKS - TAMPA BAY AT SAN FRANCISCO 4:15 p.m.

The Buccaneers are off a bye week and will be breaking in a new starting quarterback in Chris Simms. Tampa Bay still has the top ranked defense in the league and a home showdown with Carolina follows this one. Trendsetter: Tampa Bay is 4-13 ATS after playing a game at home over the last 3 seasons.

San Francisco has been blown out in three straight games as the defense is allowing a league high 35.3 ppg. Ken Dorsey starts at quarterback hoping to spark the offense that has averaged just 10.3 ppg in its last three games. Trendsetter: San Francisco is 10-1 Over at home where the total is between 35.5 and 38 points since 1992.

SUNDAY FREE NFL PICKS - BUFFALO AT NEW ENGLAND 8:30 p.m.

The Bills are only a half game behind New England and can take over first place with a win. The problem is that the offense has not generated anything on the road, averaging only nine ppg in three road games. Trendsetter: Buffalo is 12-3 Under as a road underdog over the last 3 seasons.

New England returns after a bye week and a schedule that saw them play its last four games against teams either in first or second place in their divisions. Three of the next four are at home after playing four of the first six on the road. Trendsetter: New England is 21-9 Under after a 2 game road trip since 1992.