Football Betting Action - Seahawks (+ 8) vs. Packers (- 8)
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In the first NFC Divisional Playoff game this
weekend the Seattle Seahawks travel to the Frozen
Tundra of Lambeau Field to take on the Green
Bay Packers. The Packers are coming off of a
bye week while the Seahawks are coming off of
a game that they probably should have lost versus
the Washington Redskins last week. In any case
I suspect that this line may rise during the
week.
Whether or not that has any bearing on where
our money should be depends on a thorough evaluation
of these trends:
The Seattle Seahawks are 7 and 2 against the
spread in their last 9 overall games.
The Seattle Seahawks were 3 and 5 against the
spread in their away games during the regular
season.
The Green Bay Packers are 13-3-1 against the
spread in their last 17 overall games.
The Green Bay Packers were 6-1-1 against the
spread in their home games this season.
What this game
will come down to is the effectiveness of the
Seahawks pass rush versus Green Bay quarterback,
Brett Favre. Make no mistake, home-field advantage
is a huge plus for the Packers, but the fact
that the Pack didn’t play last week makes
me pause before dumping on them against the spread
in this game.
The teams in the NFC playoffs are actually much
closer to each other than any of us might believe.
As good as Dallas and Green Bay have been all
year, on paper, from the coaching staff down
to the third-string center, all four remaining
teams in the NFC are almost carbon copies of
each other. They all have decent, not great defenses,
and good, not great quarterbacks.
So, what’s
the difference? Well, for one the Seahawks
have momentum. They absolutely dominated the
Redskins, when they needed to, in the last
half of the fourth-quarter last week. Can the
Hawks carry that momentum into Lambeau Field?
On the other side is home-field advantage and
preparation. Green Bay coach Mike McCarthy is
a master at game-planning. He will show up with
some wrinkles on the offensive side of the ball.
That extra week off also should have helped Favre.
So, what’s going to give in this game?
I have to stick with my gut and my gut tells
me that giving up more than a touchdown in a
playoff game in the NFC just isn’t smart
wagering. The Packers do not have a decided advantage
over the Seahawks. In fact the Packers lack of
experience might hurt them in this spot.
The team that the Seahawks bring into Lambeau
Field is almost the same team that made it to
the Super Bowl two years ago. That means they
should, if anything, keep this game close.
The BetUS NFL betting line is Seattle Seahawks
+ 8 against the spread on the road versus the
Green Bay Packers.
I like the Seahawks to beat the spread in this
game.
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Posted on 1/10/2008 10:35:26
AM
Football Betting Action - Seahawks (+ 8) vs. Packers (- 8)
By DS Williamson
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