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Jaguars vs. Patriots Gambling Preview

Crunch the numbers and get a daily fix of sports trends and information with up-to-date betting lines that promise to keep both the sports betting enthusiast and the novice alike, in the game. Get the latest odds, picks and analysis from BetUS.com resident handicappers and industry insiders. With so much insight and amazing daily betting tips, sports betting enthusiasts are sure to get the winning edge.

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NFL Football Betting - AFC Playoffs, Jaguars at Patriots

Betus Pressbox Articles

NOTABLE STAT: Fifty TD passes for Tom Brady

KEY NFL FOOTBALL BETTING TREND: New England has covered one of its last six games

(For more useful trends and stats, visit our unique Matchup Tool)

After a bye week, the New England Patriots (16-0 SU, 10-6 ATS) take the first step toward putting the finishing touches on an historic season on Saturday when they play host to the Jacksonville Jaguars (12-5 SU, 11-6 ATS), winners over Pittsburgh last weekend, in the Divisional Round of AFC play. Kickoff time from Gillette Stadium (artificial turf) is 8 PM ET.

In the BetUS NFL football betting odds, the Patriots are listed at -13, with the total posted at 49.5 points.

Here are some of the NFL football betting trends and stats relative to this matchup:

* JAX has covered seven of its last nine games

* JAX has won four of its last five games SU

* JAX has won and covered six of its last nine games on the road

* JAX has covered six of its last eight games as an underdog

* JAX has played eleven straight games OVER the total

* NE has covered 15 of its last 22 games

* NE has covered one of its last six games

* NE has played 16 of its last 22 games OVER the total

* NE has covered seven of its last ten home games

* NE is 6-5 ATS as a double digit favorite

* NE has played eight of its last 11 home games OVER the total

* NE is 4-1-1 ATS at home in the playoffs under Belichick

* NE is 12-2 SU in the playoffs under Belichick

* NE has won six of the last seven meetings SU

* NE has covered five of the last six meetings

In this undefeated season, New England has actually played two different seasons - first, the season that very much resembled Tiger Woods cutting a swath through the rest of the PGA Tour, winning the Masters by 12 shots and the U.S. Open by 15 shots. Then, the season where they were still the undisputed best in the league, but like Woods, came back toward the field a little. The Pats, if you noticed, weren't covering the spread when those really big numbers came out; in fact, they had just one covering effort in their last six games.

Look at the competitive games they played down the stretch, against Philadelphia, Baltimore, the Giants, even, I dare say, the New York Jets. As we know, the Pats could easily have had three losses, maybe four. There were narrow escapes against the Colts, Ravens and Giants, and a halftime deficit to the Eagles that had to be overcome.

The point is, it may not be wise to look at these guys as the monster squad that ramrodded the first eight opponents - three of which wound up in the post-season. No, they're human. And depending on the weather, they can become even more human.

The superlatives are there, obviously. The Patriots set an NFL record for most points scored in a season. Tom Brady had a record 50 touchdown passes. Randy Moss caught a record 23 TD passes. Wes Welker caught 112 passes. Seemingly, all 53 players on the roster scored touchdowns.

But interestingly, there is not a whole lot of difference in the defenses. New England allowed 288 yards a game, while Jacksonville surrendered 313. And though anyone would admit that even if David Garrard (64%, 19 TD's, 3 INT's) is an efficient quarterback, there is no comparison in the quick strike capability of these offenses, there is a thing or two that can help to close the gap a little. For starters, the Jags can play the smashmouth game, something the Pats, who allow 4.4 yards a carry, won't welcome.

And Jacksonville doesn't wilt in hostile environments, as evidenced by its two wins at Heinz Field - the only two defeats the Steelers suffered there all season.

The Jaguars are very physical, mentally-tough, road-savvy, and have the ability to "shorten" the game. At this generous number, that's enough for us. We'll side with the Jags, the 13-point underdog in the BetUS NFL betting odds.

BetUS NFL football betting odds: NEW ENGLAND -13, Total: 49.5

JAY'S PLAY: JACKSONVILLE

The 2007 NFL betting season is here in full force! If you like to bet on the NFL, you are in the best possible place for online betting. The BetUS sportsbook has NFL odds up on a ton of futures, and you will also find NFL lines up for early games as well. Join BetUS today and we'll help guide you right through to Super Bowl XLII and beyond!

Posted on 1/10/2008 9:19:12 PM
NFL Football Betting - AFC Playoffs, Jaguars at Patriots
By Charles Jay




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