Horse Betting Tips - Five Keys to Handicapping
Cheap Claimers
by: Betus.com
The stakes horses get the
headlines, but it is the cheap claimers that are
the backbone of horse racing. Horseplayers are
fed a steady diet of these types of races on an
everyday basis. If we can't master the claimers,
it's tough to keep our bankroll in the black.
Here are five keys to beating
the cheap claiming races:
Conditions:
Not every claiming race run for the same price
is the same, and an astute handicapper needs to
understand the conditions of the race.
Here
are examples of four different races all run for
the same tag of $5,000:
$5,000N2L: This race is for $5,000 claimers that
are non-winners of two races in their career.
$5,000N1Y: This race is for $5,000 claimers that
have not won a race in six months.
$5,000B: This race is for $5,000 claimers with
different conditions, usually meaning "four
year olds which have not won two races in the
their careers or three year olds" (which
can have multiple wins).
So here is the question:
Which is tougher, a $5,000 open claimer or a $10,000N2L?
In most cases the $5,000 is likely to come up
the tougher of the two races. It is open to horses
that could have an unlimited amount of wins in
their careers, while the $10,000N2L is for horses
that only have one win and, in most cases, that
usually is a maiden race.
It's a no brainer, but look
for horses that fit the conditions of the race!
Speed:
Knowing what the par is for a particular class
is important. Knowing what horses in a cheap claimer
are capable of running that number is even more
important. In most cases, all of the participants
have run numbers that exceed par for the class
at some point in their career, but for one reason
or another have found their way to the bottom
of the claiming ranks.
The trick is finding a candidate
that consistently runs figures that exceed par
for the class or finding one that is heading toward
running a number that exceeds the par. Often times
a good place to look in a cheap claimer is a horse
making his or her second or third start off a
short layoff. Or a horse going to a higher percentage
barn via the claim box.
It's also important the horse
has run to par at or near the distance in recent
starts.
Comparing speed figures is
a obvious way to find the main contenders, but
finding the horse that can move forward off his
or her last figure will lead to better profits.
Pace:
You have heard the old saying, "Pace Makes
the Race." This is especially true in claiming
races. Even a sore 11-year-old gelding can get
brave and start to feel like his old self if he
is able to set easy early fractions. They get
brave in the stretch and the competitiveness they
showed in their younger days versus tougher may
come to the surface. If that happens they will
prove tough to pass in the stretch.
Some older, cheap horses
can get discouraged when they have to work too
hard early. When they are pressed for the early
lead, they tend to "spit the bit" and
can come home staggering in the stretch.
It is important in these
types of races to figure out how the early pace
is going to effect the race. Lone speed is a dangerous
weapon in claiming races. Look at the early fractions
of each contender and also compare pace figures,
which are now readily available in most past performances.
Class:
With veteran bottom level type claimers, figuring
out what horses have the class to win at the level
is tricky. For the most part you will find that
most (if not all) of the horses in the race have
been competitive at the level, or possibly even
at a much higher level earlier in their career.
Often times in lower level
claimers you will encounter horses taking drastic
drops in class. This is where it is important
to know trainer tendencies. At the bottom level,
speed, pace and trainer tendencies are more important
handicapping factors than class.
Trainers:
Understanding trainer tendencies has never been
so important. There are trainers that claim cheap
horses and suddenly turn them into world beaters.
They might reel off three or four wins in a row
while stepping up in class.
Know which trainers on your
circuit have high numbers with horses first and
second time off the claim. Some trainers fire
at a high rate first off the claim and then the
horse seems to run out of gas. Other trainers
claim a cheap horse and keep them in top form
for three or four races. Get to know your trainers.
It is also important to know
how trainers do raising and dropping horses in
class. These types of stats are readily available
now. Also pay attention to the ROI (return on
investment) stats for trainers. There are some
trainers that bettors consistently overlook that
can lead to solid profits when playing claiming
races.
Cheap claimers can be an
inconsistent group and a challenge to handicap.
But by paying attention to a few small details,
turning the bankroll from red to black is easier
than you think.
Online sports betting with
BetUS Racebook. Join BetUS today to get in on
the horse betting action.
Posted on 2/23/2007 3:44:47
PM
Horse Betting Tips - Five Keys to Handicapping Cheap
Claimers
By Michael Dempsey
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