In The Huddle - Week 7 Odds and
Predictions
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Okay, so the first thing that makes sense to
me is that somebody, anybody, preferably with
a real talent for song-writing comes up with
a small ditty for the New England Patriots. Personally,
I think that Belichick should be banned from
the NFL because of the whole spying thing, but
did you see what they did to the Dallas Cowboys
this past Sunday?
The plays to Wes
Welker and Donte Stallworth were absolute beauties.
They are easily one of the best teams I have
ever seen in my life. Save for the early 1990’s Cowboys and maybe
some of those Montana teams in the 1980’s,
I can’t think of another team capable of
beating these guys. Welker is the key. With that
extra wide receiver out there - - one with a
penchant for making big plays - - the Patriots
are unstoppable. No defense will be able to contain
them. That means they win the Super Bowl, right?
As wifey would say to her red-headed friend
from the Valley - - Not so fast, Becky!
Injuries usually affect every team in football
and the Patriots are about two injuries away
from being the greatest team since the Spartans
in that movie 300 to losing in the first-round
of the AFC playoffs. Should Tom Brady hurt himself
unexpectedly or should Welker or Moss hurt some
part of their vastly talented anatomies, the
Patriots are a virtual lock to lose in the first
round.
They’ll still
win the NFC East but you might as well write
them off before the first game of the playoffs.
Their defense is okay - - not great - - just
okay. That means that Brady and Welker and
Moss have to keep firing bullets. The more
bullets you fire; the better chance that some
good defense, like Pittsburgh, will steal your
gun.
Not the greatest
metaphor I’ve ever come
up with, but it works, right?
Now that my rant
regarding the Super Pats is out of the way,
it’s time to get to the
down-low and tell all you NFL bettors what’s
going on this weekend!
Arizona
Cardinals (+7.5) vs. Washington Redskins (-7.5) Another
question to red-headed Becky - - are you kidding
me? Seriously, there is no way that a team
led by Tim Rattay is going to beat the Redskins.
First, the ‘Skins are
coming off a game against one of the better teams
in the NFL, the Green Bay Packers. It was a game
that they should have won. They go back to D.C.
They get to play a quarterback who wasn’t
with a team just a bout fourteen days ago. This
is a ridiculous line, the ‘Skins are going
to maul this team. There’s no trend to
speak of here because when you’re down
to your third string quarterback and you’re
going up against one of the best defenses in
the NFL you got no chance. Cardinal fans, this
one’s over all ready!
Kansa
City Chiefs (+3) vs. Oakland Raiders (-3) What a goofy
line. The Chiefs actually played well this
past Sunday beating the Cincinnati Bengals.
The Raiders had their moments versus the Chargers.
One of the craziest trends in the NFL is that
the Raiders, who do have a solid D, can’t seem to win against their NFC
West opponents. They’ve lost 16 straight.
No, I’m not making that up. What kind of
trend is that? Eventually, the Raiders are going
to break that trend, right? They have to - -
right? I’m just not sure when and I think
that Hermm Edwards might have too much upstairs
between the ears for young Lane Kiffin, at least,
at this point in young Kiffin’s career.
The Chiefs love to beat the Raiders too. That’s
another trend. With that being written, this
one sure feels like a good money-line bet on
the Chiefs to me.
Tampa
Bay Buccaneers (-2) vs. Detroit Lions (+2) There is only one
magical word when it comes to this game, OVER.
Yes, that’s it. OVER.
Repeat that word in your head again and again
and again…well, you get the idea. Nobody
can stop Detroit from scoring because John Kitna
has too many weapons. Nobody can NOT score against
Detroit because Detroit doesn’t play defense.
I think that you fantasy football lovers should
be all over Garcia in this one. He might run
for three hundred yards and throw for another
one-hundred or so. The middle is going to be
so wide-open, Garcia might be feeling like he’s
on a tread-mill. In any case, both teams have
gotten way too lucky this year for me to pick
the winner either straight-up or against the
spread. And, since there isn’t a real trend
to speak of, other than Lions games going over
on artificial surfaces - - well, I guess that
is a good trend! So, here’s the pick =
OVER 43.5. That number could go down before the
end of the third quarter.
Pittsburgh
Steelers (-4) vs. Denver Broncos (+4) This is the sort
of game that NFL betting dreams are made of.
The Broncos don’t have
a home-field advantage any more. The Steelers
are coming off of a bye week. Just so you know,
the Steelers off of a bye week is an excellent
play every single year. Their coaching staff
prepares better than any other team in the NFL
during a bye week and they have enough veterans
to keep their heads together after the bye week.
Wow. I can’t believe the line is only four
in this one. The trend says bet the Steelers
off of a bye week. I say bet the Steelers heavily
to cover the 4 points.
Indianapolis
Colts (-4) vs. Jacksonville Jaguars (+4) There isn’t a great trend regarding
this game because the Jaguars are one of those
teams that can kill you if you stick with them.
However, one trend that I’ve nailed a few
times in the past couple years is that when the
Jaguars score over 22 points they tend to beat
or cover spreads. I like their chances to score
over 22 in this game only because their little
cannon-ball of an RB, Maurice Jones-Drew, is
much better than anyone thought. I also like
the fact that their QB, David Garrard, doesn’t
make that many mistakes. In fact, I’m going
to wait and see if the Colts get more money in
this one because I’m feeling the money-line.
Other Games:
Chicago
Bears (+4.5) vs. Philadelphia Eagles (- 4.5) The main trend
regarding the Bears is that when they play
against a fellow NFC team they usually do very
well. That was before the Bears D turned into
the next coming of Jell-O and the Eagles got
Brian Westbrook back and Kevin Curtis turned
into Steve Largent with speed. This is another
one that’s over. Forget
it. McNabb eats that Bears D for lunch.
Minnesota
Vikings (+9.5) vs. Dallas Cowboys ( - 9.5) The Cowboys stay
at home and will be looking to exploit the Viking’s pass defense which
is terrible. They shouldn’t have an issue
in this game except Adrian Peterson for the Vikings
is really that good. Still, I can’t pick
against the ‘Boys in a game where they
will be looking to exploit a weakness with their
strength – passing to Jason Witten and
Terrell Owens. One trend that might scare you
off this game is that Dallas is 1 – 16
at home against the spread in a game where the
total is more than 44 points. The total in this
game is 46. Scary, Beckster! Scary!
New
York Jets (+6.5) vs. Cincinnati Bengals (-6.5) The trend says
that the Bengals lose in games that become shoot-outs.
Since their defense is horrid and the Jets offense
is good enough to lay at least 28 on the Bungles,
I’m going
to call another money-line game and say that
the Bengals lose outright in this one. Mangenius
will get his kids together to win the second
game of the season.
Until next week, good luck!
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Posted on 10/16/2007 1:26:04 PM
NFL Betting Week 7 Picks
By D.S. Williamson
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