College Football Betting - Week 1 Recap
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If there is one thing that came out of the first
week of the college football
betting season,
besides the Michigan Wolverines being horribly
overrated by everyone in the country, is that
the Notre Dame Fighting Irish are a bad team.
The reason that they are bad is because of personnel
and that means that, from a betting stand-point,
a new trend may develop which shows a profit
betting on Notre Dame no matter what the line.
For instance, what
will Vegas make the Michigan vs. Notre Dame
betting line? The game, in two weeks, comes
after Michigan, all ready a big time loser
due to their flop versus Appalachian State,
plays a softer than usual Oregon team in Ann
Arbor. Sure, Michigan should win, but, what
if they don’t? And, even if they do,
what will the line be?
My prediction is that
after Michigan squeaks by Oregon, the line
will be somewhere close to 7.5 Michigan’s way. Michigan, without a
doubt, should cover that line. In fact, you will
be hard pressed to find a team that Notre Dame
can beat. Again, this has nothing to do with
Charlie Weiss’ coaching ability. It has
everything to do with the fact that Notre Dame
is soft on both sides of the ball.
They just don’t have any players and they
especially don’t have the players at the
skill positions that they need in order to run
a Weiss style offense. As a bettor, I will be
paying attention to every Notre Dame betting
line this year. They’re setting up as a
personal goldmine.
Here’s a re-cap
of the four big conferences and how they fared:
Big
12: Kansas St. gave a terrific showing of
themselves, but what happened to Texas? Are you
kidding me? They beat Arkansas St. by 8 points.
That does not bode well for Texas fans. For bettors,
this might be a good thing. They played so poorly
that the NCAA betting line on their game against
TCU next week might actually be worth playing.
Big
Ten: Michigan aside, Wisconsin looked excellent
against the Pac-10. The beauty of Wisconsin is
that they will almost certainly be getting points
at Happy Valley when they play Penn State, and
against Ohio State later in the year. I am going
to go out on a limb and say that this is easily
the best coached team in the Big Ten this year.
Depending on the line, Wisconsin might provide
good wagering opportunities in the future.
Pac-10: USC came out
and played like an uninspired team. I’m not sure what to make of their
performance. Arizona is terrible - - again. The
surprise team betting-wise may be Arizona State.
The 1st half line in Saturday’s game versus
San Jose State was Arizona State – 10.
Half-time score: Arizona State 24, San Jose State
3. Coach Dennis Erickson has no qualms about
running up the score and Arizona State looks
like a tough team this year. California made
amends versus Tennessee but it was harder than
the score indicates. The Golden Bears won’t
be able to score at will against everyone, so
take a close look at the line before dumping
on these guys.
SEC: Auburn showed
grit by coming back against Kansas State, but
it shouldn’t have been
that close. It looks like another poor offensive
squad for Coach Tubberville. The betting line
on LSU was LSU – 20.5. Considering that
the trend for the past five games was LSU by
at least 30 over their opponent, the line was
off and LSU took advantage - winning by an impressive
45 on the road. Make no mistake, LSU’s
defense is awesome. Simply awesome. Bettors may
want to pay attention to the over and unders
in LSU’s next few games.
Until next time, good luck!
NCAA football betting has started, and BetUS
sportsbook already has tons of college football
Futures betting available for those of us who
can't wait. Bet on the Heisman winner, Conference
and Divisional winners and, of course, the 2008
BCS National Championship winner. Bet NCAA Football
Futures in our sportsbook today in the Future
/ props section!
Posted on 9/4/2007 6:26:46 PM
College Football Betting - Week 1 Recap
By D.S. Williamson
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