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The San Diego Chargers
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2007 SAN DIEGO CHARGERS PREVIEW
(My
Sportsbook) - It's not customary
for an NFL team to completely overhaul its
coaching staff immediately after finishing
with the most regular-season wins in the
league. But when you're the San Diego Chargers,
a group seemingly on the verge of greatness
in recent years, such a renovation was deemed
necessary in order to take that elusive next
step.
Gone is Marty Schottenheimer and his penchant
for postseason failure, a reputation that was
further cemented following a fourth-quarter collapse
that resulted in a 24-21 Chargers' loss to New
England during last year's AFC Divisional Playoffs.
Schottenheimer's history of January shortcomings,
coupled with a frosty relationship with general
manager A.J. Smith, led to the head coach's stunning
dismissal a month after the New England fiasco.
Also no longer on the payroll are Cam Cameron
and Wade Phillips, the offensive and defensive
coordinators for last year's AFC West champion
squad. Both jumped ship voluntarily to take head
coaching positions with Miami and Dallas, respectively.
Smith then replaced his coach that couldn't
win in the playoffs with one that has hardly
won at all. His hiring of ex-Redskins and Raiders
head man Norv Turner in February may have raised
more eyebrows than Schottenheimer's showing of
the door following a 14-2 regular season.
Although Turner's 59-83-1 overall record and
one playoff appearance in nine seasons hardly
inspires confidence, there's no denying his skill
at running an offense. The system he installed
as San Diego's offensive coordinator in 2001
was kept in place during Schottenheimer's five-year
tenure and produced a league-best 492 points
last season.
Turner can't take all the credit for the unit's
success, however. The Chargers also possess the
NFL's best running back in reigning league MVP
LaDainian Tomlinson and a top-notch offensive
line that paved the way for a record- setting
31-touchdown campaign for the unassuming superstar.
That entire front wall remains intact in 2007,
while cerebral young quarterback Philip Rivers
should only improve on his very good first season
as a starter under Turner's tutelage.
Add in a fierce defense that boasts a pair of
All-Pro performers in outside linebacker Shawne
Merriman and nose tackle Jamal Williams plus
an unheralded star in Shaun Phillips, Merriman's
running mate on the other side, and it's clear
to see why the Chargers entered camp with nothing
less than championship expectations.
But first, San Diego's going to have to win
a playoff game, something the franchise hasn't
accomplished since making its lone Super Bowl
appearance in 1994.
Below we take a capsule look at the 2007 edition
of the San Diego Chargers, with a personnel evaluation
and prognosis included therein:
2006 RECORD: 14-2 (1st, AFC West)
LAST PLAYOFF APPEARANCE: 2006, lost to New England,
24-21, in AFC Divisional Playoff
COACH (RECORD): Norv Turner (first season with
Chargers, 58-82-1 overall)
OFFENSIVE TEAM RANKS: 2nd rushing, 16th passing,
1st scoring
DEFENSIVE TEAM RANKS: 7th rushing, 13th passing,
7th scoring
FIVE KEY GAMES: at New England (9/16), at Denver
(10/7), at Kansas City (11/2), Indianapolis (11/11),
Baltimore (11/25)
KEY ADDITIONS: WR Craig Davis (1st Round, LSU),
LB Anthony Waters (3rd Round, Clemson), S Eric
Weddle (2nd Round, Utah)
KEY DEPARTURES: WR Keenan McCardell (to Titans),
WR Az-Zahir Hakim (to Dolphins), TE Ryan Krause
(to Browns), T Leander Jordan (released), LB
Randall Godfrey (to Redskins), LB Donnie Edwards
(to Chiefs), LB Steve Foley (released), SS Terrence
Kiel (released)
QB: San Diego's biggest question mark heading
into last season was answered emphatically by
the performance of Rivers. The 25-year-old displayed
the poise and precision of a 10-year vet in deftly
guiding the Chargers' potent offense. He racked
up 3,338 passing yards and 22 touchdowns against
just nine interceptions and completed nearly
62 percent of his throws, not bad numbers for
a guy who entered the year with 30 career passes
to his credit. If Rivers is forced to miss any
action, one-time Titans starter Billy Volek is
a more than capable fill-in. Charlie Whitehurst,
the team's third-round selection in 2006, will
spend a second season as the No. 3 man.
RB: This is as good as it gets. Not only does
Tomlinson, arguably the league's best overall
player, reside in the backfield, but understudy
Michael Turner (502 rushing yards, 2 TD) could
start for a host of other teams and three-time
Pro Bowl honoree Lorenzo Neal (140 rushing yards,
1 TD, 17 receptions) is generally regarded as
the best blocking fullback in the business. Tomlinson
took his already all-world game to another level
in 2006, as he topped the NFL with a career-best
1,815 rushing yards and surpassed Shaun Alexander's
season touchdown mark with three games to spare.
The soft-spoken Texan is also a tremendous receiver
who has compiled 50 or more receptions in each
of his six pro seasons. The 237-pound Michael
Turner provides a bruising change of pace and
has averaged six yards per carry during his three-year
tenure. He's also an effective kick returner
who will be among the most coveted free agents
at season's end. Diminutive Darren Sproles is
ready to reprise his role as the No. 3 back and
primary return man after missing all of 2006
with a broken leg, while Andrew Pinnock can help
out at both backfield spots.
WR/TE: Tight end Antonio Gates earned first
team All-Pro recognition for the third consecutive
year after leading the Chargers with 71 receptions,
924 yards and nine touchdown grabs. Those numbers
were a drop off from his stellar 2004 and '05
seasons, but that dip can mainly be attributed
to the old coaching staff's early-season constraints
on Rivers. The wide receiver corps, a rather
pedestrian group last year, will have a pair
of new starters come Week 1, as the aging Keenan
McCardell was released in March and Eric Parker
(48 receptions) is expected to miss the season's
first six weeks after undergoing toe surgery.
One will be Vincent Jackson (27 receptions, 6
TD), a skillful third-year player and inviting
6-foot-5, 240-pound target who made great strides
in the second half of 2006. Parker's injury has
set up a preseason battle between Malcolm Floyd
(15 receptions, 3 TD) and rookie Craig Davis
for the other starting nod. Davis, San Diego's
first-round pick in last April's draft, adds
elements of speed and game-breaking ability that
the unit sorely lacked last season. Another 2007
draftee, ex-Boise State wideout Legedu Naanee,
has impressed the coaching staff with his athleticism
and versatility and appears to have secured a
roster spot. Blocking whiz Brandon Manumaleuna
(14 receptions, 3 TD) is back to serve as the
second tight end, with fourth- round draft choice
Scott Chandler and 2006 practice squad member
Kelly Griffeth contesting for the final tight
end position.
OL: The crew that helped Tomlinson earn a place
in the record books nearly lost a valued member
during the offseason, but left guard Kris Dielman
spurned a more lucrative offer from Seattle to
remain in San Diego. The organization thought
the former defensive lineman should have joined
standout center Nick Hardwick and left tackle
Marcus McNeill on the AFC Pro Bowl squad. McNeill's
sensational play as a rookie was a big key to
the offense's success. The Auburn product flawlessly
protected Rivers' blind side after being forced
into duty due to a preseason foot injury by veteran
Roman Oben. Guard Mike Goff and tackle Shane
Olivea are both steady stalwarts on the right
side, while holdovers Scott Mruckowski, Cory
Lekkerkerker and Cory Withrow supply good depth.
DL: This three-man front is anchored by the
sturdy Williams (69 tackles, 2 sacks), an active
and disruptive force who excels at clogging up
the middle. Left end Luis Castillo (39 tackles,
7 sacks) built upon an outstanding rookie season
with an even better 2006 campaign despite missing
six games with an ankle problem, and is quickly
emerging into a top-flight player in his own
right. On the opposite side, Igor Olshansky (33
tackles, 1.5 sacks) ranks among the league's
strongest players and is an effective run stuffer.
Jacques Cesaire (36 tackles, 4 sacks) started
10 games last year due to injuries to both ends
and returns as the top backup, while youngsters
Ryon Bingham (15 tackles, 1.5 sacks) and Derreck
Robinson (14 tackles, 1.5 sacks) also received
valuable experience in reserve capacities. Brandon
McKinney (2 tackles), who spent most of last
season on the practice squad, has had a strong
camp and figures to serve as Williams' backup.
LB: The tandem of Merriman and Phillips (65
tackles, 11.5 sacks) was lethal to opposing quarterbacks
in 2006, as the pair combined for 28 1/2 of the
Chargers' league-best 61 sacks. Merriman had
17 of those takedowns despite sitting out four
games due to a steroid suspension, and finished
third in voting for NFL Defensive Player of the
Year. Phillips doesn't have the notoriety of
his counterpart but is nearly as dangerous as
a pass rusher. San Diego has greater concerns
on the interior, where starters Donnie Edwards
and Randall Godfrey were not re-signed. The loss
of Edwards, a terrific leader who excels in pass
coverage, will be especially difficult to overcome.
Replacements Stephen Cooper (53 tackles, 2.5
sacks) and Matt Wilhelm (27 tackles) have shown
promise in previous spot duty, although neither
has a whole lot of experience. Second-year man
Tim Dobbins (19 tackles) will also push for playing
time on the inside and the Chargers are also
high on rookie Anthony Waters, a third-round
pick who slipped in the draft due to injury concerns.
Special teams whiz Carlos Polk (45 tackles, 2
sacks) and Marques Harris (24 tackles, 3 sacks)
will repeat their roles as outside reserves.
DB: San Diego's defensive backfield isn't as
strong as its front seven, but the group did
show significant improvement from the previous
season, as the Chargers went from a No. 28 overall
ranking in pass defense in 2005 to 13th last
year. The pass rush certainly played a role in
that upgrade, but the free-agent acquisition
of free safety Marlon McCree (59 tackles, 1 INT,
1 sack) was an excellent under-the-radar move
by Smith. The ex-Panther stabilized a young secondary
that also benefited from a career year for cornerback
Quentin Jammer (78 tackles, 4 INT), who is finally
starting to justify the top-five overall pick
San Diego used on him in 2002. Drayton Florence
(66 tackles, 3 INT) had a solid year at the other
corner that was overshadowed by a foolish and
costly personal foul penalty in the playoff loss
to New England. Florence will be a free agent
at year's end, a reason why the Chargers took
Antonio Cromartie (24 tackles) in the first round
of last year's draft and plucked Georgia's Paul
Oliver in July's supplemental draft. San Diego
parted ways with strong safety Terrence Kiel,
who drew unwanted attention with an in-season
arrest on drug trafficking charges. Clinton Hart
(48 tackles, 3 INT) is the early favorite to
take over, although the fifth- year pro is being
challenged by rookie Eric Weddle. The Chargers
thought so highly of the ex-Utah star that they
traded four draft picks to Chicago to nab him
in the second round.
SPECIAL TEAMS: This is another area of strength
for San Diego. Kicker Nate Kaeding and long snapper
David Binn were both selected to the Pro Bowl
last season, and reserve wideout Kassim Osgood
was the AFC's special teams representative. Kaeding's
strong and accurate leg made good on 26-of-29
field goal attempts in 2006, while punter Mike
Scifres (41.9 avg.) led the NFL with 35 kicks
inside the 20-yard line. Binn, a 13-year veteran,
is considered the gold standard at the league's
most overlooked position. Turner averaged an
impressive 26.5 yards on kick returns, while
the return of Sproles figures to boost the Chargers'
mediocre numbers on punt runbacks of a year ago.
PROGNOSIS: Even with the upheaval of the coaching
staff, the Chargers still appear to be the cream
of an AFC West crop, where the three other members
are going through major renovations. Last winter's
postseason debacle and New England's preseason
status as the consensus conference favorite should
leave San Diego a hungry team that won't be satisfied
with just another division title. Although reaching
last year's regular-season victory total is likely
a stretch, Turner should seriously consider hanging
up the headset if he can't send this talented
bunch into the playoffs.
08/30 20:56:31 ET
WagerOnFootball.com - San Diego Chargers Predictions
Everything gelled for
the Chargers last year just as they ran into an
amazingly soft schedule. What's normaly a tough
division became weak when Denver went through a
QB change and KC dealt with tough times as well.
Add it all up for 2007 and you get an overrated
team that's now dealing with a a completely overhauled
coaching staff, it'll be tougher this year for
them but 11-5 is doable.
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