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The Kansas City Chiefs
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2007 KANSAS CITY CHIEFS
PREVIEW
(My
Sportsbook) - The year 2006 may best be
remembered in the annals of the Kansas City
Chiefs as the one that contained the passing
of the franchise's groundbreaking owner, Lamar
Hunt. The team fittingly paid tribute to its
beloved patriarch by playing a brand of football
synonymous with the early days of the AFL,
the league Hunt founded some 40-plus years
ago.
For the better part
of this decade, the Chiefs were a team known
and feared for a quick-strike, aggressive offense
capable of churning out yards and points in
pinball-like numbers under head coach Dick
Vermeil and offensive coordinator Al Saunders.
Things couldn't have been any different, however,
once former New York Jets sideline general
Herman Edwards, more a proponent of the "three
yards and a cloud of dust" approach, took
over the reigns from the retiring Vermeil following
the 2005 season.
Actually, it was more like 4.3 yards and a cloud
of dust, which was what workhorse running back
Larry Johnson averaged on his NFL single-season
record 416 carries last season.
Run Johnson left. Run Larry right. Run No. 27
up the middle. Those were all familiar commands
uttered from the mouths of Edwards and new OC
Mike Solari, who replaced Saunders after the
latter departed for Washington at the conclusion
of the Vermeil era. And although that attack
was effective, as the Chiefs compiled a 9-7 record
and sneaked into the AFC playoffs as a wild card,
it was also about as exciting as watching paint
dry and as predictable as the ending of a Jerry
Springer taping.
Edwards' Newt Gingrich-esque philosophy certainly
didn't fool the Indianapolis Colts, who held
Kansas City without a first down through the
entire first half of January's 23-8 victory in
the opening round of the postseason.
Kansas City's offense may be boring, but the
club's offseason had its share of interesting
storylines. There was first the mini-soap opera
involving quarterback Trent Green, whose future
was placed in a three-month state of limbo while
the front office dragged its feet on a trade
that eventually sent its longtime signal-caller
to Miami. Then there was the resulting training-
camp quarterback controversy between Damon Huard,
the career journeyman whose surprisingly capable
play in place of an injured Green concussion
was an essential ingredient to last year's playoff
march, and second-year prodigy Brodie Croyle,
believed to be Edwards and the organization's
preferred choice to seize the starting job.
Huard will begin the season as the No. 1 quarterback,
but odds are he'll give way to the younger and
stronger-armed Croyle some time before the year's
out, especially if the Chiefs stumble out of
the blocks.
A 3 1/2-week holdout staged by Johnson in an
attempt to secure a long-term contract provided
another preseason distraction. That problem has
fortunately been resolved, since Kansas City
will likely have to rely even more on its now
well-paid superstar and an improving defense
to reach its goal of a fourth winning campaign
in five years.
Below we take a capsule look at the 2007 edition
of the Kansas City Chiefs, with a personnel evaluation
and prognosis included therein:
2006 RECORD: 9-7 (t2nd, AFC West)
LAST PLAYOFF APPEARANCE: 2006, lost to Indianapolis,
23-8, in AFC Wild Card
COACH (RECORD): Herm Edwards (9-7 in one season
with Chiefs, 48-48 overall)
DEFENSIVE STAR: Jared Allen, DE (77 tackles,
7.5 sacks, 1 INT)
OFFENSIVE TEAM RANKS: 9th rushing, 22nd passing,
15th scoring
DEFENSIVE TEAM RANKS: 18th rushing, 18th passing,
t11th scoring
FIVE KEY GAMES: at Houston (9/9), Cincinnati
(10/14), at Oakland (10/21), Denver (11/11),
San Diego (12/2)
KEY ADDITIONS: WR Dwayne Bowe (1st Round, LSU),
WR/RS Eddie Drummond (from Lions), OL Damion
McIntosh (from Dolphins), DT Turk McBride (2nd
Round, Tennessee), DT Tank Tyler (3rd Round,
N.C. State), DT Alfonso Boone (from Bears), LB
Donnie Edwards (from Chargers), LB Napoleon Harris
(from Vikings), S Jon McGraw (from Lions), S
Chad Williams (from 49ers), K Justin Medlock
(5th Round, UCLA), LS J.P. Darche (from Seahawks)
KEY DEPARTURES: QB Trent Green (to Dolphins),
WR Dante Hall (to Rams), WR Rod Gardner (released),
G Will Shields (retired), T Jordan Black (to
Texans), T Chris Bober (out for season/injured),
DE Eric Hicks (to Jets), DT Ryan Sims (to Buccaneers),
DT Brian Howard (released), DT Steve Williams
(released), LB Kawika Mitchell (to Giants), CB
William Bartee (released), CB Lenny Walls (to
Rams), S Sammy Knight (to Jaguars), K Lawrence
Tynes (to Giants), LS Adam Johnson (released),
LS Kendall Gammon (not tendered)
QB: With the exception of Johnson, no player
was more important to Kansas City's success last
season than Huard (1878 passing yards, 11 TD,
1 INT), who made the most of a long-awaited extended
opportunity presented when Green suffered a serious
concussion in Week 1. The 34-year-old compiled
an outstanding 11-to-1 touchdown-to-interception
ratio and a 98.0 quarterback rating, a number
bettered only by Peyton Manning, while guiding
the Chiefs to a 5-3 record in his eight starts.
Huard was deservedly rewarded with a three- year
contract in February, but his status as the main
man under center appears to be far less secure
than his financial portfolio. Croyle was practically
handed the starting job in the preseason, but
the former University of Alabama star gave it
away with a string of poor performances during
the exhibition schedule. He's still viewed as
the team's quarterback of the future, however,
and should see extensive action at some point
this year. Ex-CFL superstar Casey Printers is
set as the No. 3 quarterback.
RB: Johnson parlayed his record-setting workload
into a six-year, $45 million contract that was
agreed to shortly before the third preseason
game. Although the All-Pro back is only 27 years
old, history indicates the Chiefs may have made
a risky investment. Four players (James Wilder,
Eric Dickerson, Jamal Anderson, Eddie George)
have previously amassed 400 rushing attempts
in a single season, and all of them saw a decline
in productivity in subsequent years. There's
little reason to believe Johnson won't remain
an elite runner this season, however, provided
the Chiefs make the effort to keep their franchise
player fresh. Kansas City does possess another
1,000-yard rusher on the roster in Michael Bennett
(200 rushing yards, 9 receptions), but the ex-
Viking has been dogged by injuries for a good
part of his six-year career. The Chiefs did select
Louisville's Kolby Smith in the fifth round of
April's draft to help out, and there's still
an outside chance that three-time All-Pro and
club career rushing leader Priest Holmes could
make a contribution. Holmes, who hasn't played
since suffering a devastating neck injury midway
through the 2005 campaign, has resumed working
out but is still a long shot to make the active
squad. There's not a true fullback on the roster,
but reserve tight end Kris Wilson (15 receptions,
3 TD) often lines up in the backfield to serve
as Johnson's lead blocker.
WR/TE: Perennial Pro Bowl tight end Tony Gonzalez
(73 receptions, 5 TD) and savvy veteran Eddie
Kennison (53 receptions, 5 TD) finished 1-2 on
the team in catches for the third consecutive
year in 2006, and the pair once again figures
to be Kansas City's top receiving targets this
fall. Gonzalez earned an eighth consecutive trip
to Honolulu last season and is as sure-handed
as they come, while the 34-year-old Kennison
showed he can still be a downfield threat by
averaging 16.2 per catch. Samie Parker had a
career-best 41 grabs opposite Kennison, but the
fourth-year pro's one touchdown and numerous
drops prompted the Chiefs to take LSU's Dwayne
Bowe in the first round of the 2007 draft. The
team is also high on speedy second-year receivers
Jeff Webb (3 receptions) and Chris Hannon, with
Webb the likely choice to initially take over
the third wideout role previously held by Dante
Hall. The tight end corps will again include
11th-year vet Jason Dunn (4 receptions), who's
valued greatly for his blocking skills, and could
also contain prospect Michael Allan, a seventh-round
draft pick out of Division III Whitworth University.
OL: The Chiefs used to annually field one of
the NFL's premier trench units, but this area
has gone from a clear strength to a potential
weakness following the retirements of two potential
Hall of Famers in back-to-back years. Left tackle
Willie Roaf called it quits during training camp
last summer and rock- solid right guard Will
Shields ended a 14-year reign of excellence in
April. Kansas City still has a pair of proven
anchors in left guard Brian Waters, a three-time
Pro Bowl honoree, and seasoned center Casey Wiegmann,
but the other three line positions are a little
more unsettled. Ex-Dolphin Damion McIntosh will
man left tackle after signing a six-year deal
in the spring and Chris Terry, who's started
80 career NFL games but none since 2004, is slated
to take over a right-side spot that was a revolving
door last season. John Welbourn, the team's primary
right tackle in 2004 and '05, has been shifted
to his natural guard position in Shields' absence.
The Chiefs brought back colorful veteran Kyle
Turley to add depth at tackle, but he's now the
only reserve with significant experience after
interior player Chris Bober was placed on injured
reserve.
DL: Kansas City is in good shape at the ends,
where both Jared Allen (77 tackles, 7.5 sacks)
and Tamba Hali (58 tackles, 8 sacks) form a young
and speedy duo that can effectively disrupt enemy
quarterbacks. Hali started all 16 games as a
rookie last year and looks like a future star
on the left side, while Allen has racked up 27
1/2 sacks over his first three pro seasons. The
tackle tandem of Ron Edwards (20 tackles, 2.5
sacks) and Edwards favorite James Reed (37 tackles,
1 sack) was merely adequate, but the Chiefs added
some beef up front with the offseason signing
of former Bear Alfonso Boone (26 tackles, 2 sacks),
who takes over one starting slot and will be
counted on to improve the inside pass rush. Jimmy
Wilkerson (24 tackles) is a solid backup who
will probably start the first two games while
Allen serves an alcohol- related suspension.
Look for 2007 draftees Turk McBride (second round)
and tackle Tank Tyler (third) to play more significant
roles as the season goes along.
LB: The Chiefs have the makings of one of the
top linebacking groups in the league after acquiring
both Donnie Edwards (San Diego) and Napoleon
Harris (Minnesota) through free agency to team
with rising star Derrick Johnson. Edwards (141
tackles, 2.5 sacks, 3 INT), one of the game's
most active playmakers and a revered leader in
the huddle, returns to the organization with
which he spent his first six NFL seasons after
a successful five-year run with the rival Chargers.
The 34-year-old's well-regarded coverage skills
should prove to be an asset on the weak side,
where Kendrell Bell (49 tackles, 1 sack) has
made a minimal impact over the last two years.
Harris' (59 tackles, 2.5 sacks, 3 INT) intelligence
and speed make him a prototype middle linebacker
for Kansas City's Cover-2 scheme, while the athletic
Johnson (75 tackles, 4.5 sacks) enters his third
season as the strongside starter and could be
primed for a breakout year. Bell's salary and
backup status have put his roster spot in jeopardy,
but if he stays he'll head a useful reserve corps
that also includes Keyaron Fox (52 tackles, 1
sack), special teams ace Rich Scanlon (9 tackles)
and 2006 practice squad member William Kershaw.
DB: Kansas City's biggest area of concern on
defense likely lies on the corners. Ty Law (65
tackles, 4 INT) and Patrick Surtain (66 tackles,
1 INT) have been to a combined seven Pro Bowls
but are 33 and 31 years old, respectively, and
depth behind the two aging ballhawks is an issue.
Diminutive Benny Sapp (17 tackles) is tough and
fairly reliable as a nickel back, but the next
two corners on the depth chart are Dimitri Patterson,
a former Redskins' practice-squadder who was
out of the league for virtually all of last season,
and undrafted rookie Tyron Brackenridge. Youth
will be served at the two safety positions, where
talented second-year players Jarrad Page (35
tackles, 3 INT, 1 sack) and Bernard Pollard (10
tackles) are the new starters. Page, a seventh-round
steal, displaced longtime free safety Greg Wesley
(67 tackles, 3 INT) by season's end, while the
emergence of the physical Pollard enabled the
Chiefs to let valued veteran Sammy Knight go
in the offseason. Wesley could be a trade target
of teams during the final roster shuffle. If
he isn't dealt, the eighth-year pro will combine
with Jon McGraw (43 tackles), another one of
coach Edwards' ex-Jets, to provide an excellent
backup duo.
SPECIAL TEAMS: The Chiefs weren't particularly
pleased with Lawrence Tynes' performance a year
ago, so they shipped the kicker to the Giants
shortly after selecting UCLA's Justin Medlock
in the fifth round of the draft. Medlock has
had a shaky camp, however, highlighted by two
field goal misses in the second preseason contest.
The return game will also be going through transition
following the draft-day trade of the electrifying
Hall to St. Louis. Eddie Drummond, who made the
Pro Bowl with Detroit in 2004, was picked up
late in preseason to compete with Webb and undrafted
rookie Ean Randolph for runback duties. Kansas
City also cut loose long snapper Kendall Gammon,
a mainstay in the league for 15 years, but found
a capable replacement in ex-Seahawk J.P. Darche.
Punter Dustin Colquitt (44.3 avg.) returns after
rebounding from a disappointing rookie season
with a strong sophomore campaign in 2006.
PROGNOSIS: The Chiefs' fortunes could very well
be determined in September, when the team will
play three of its first four games on the road
-- including stops in Chicago and San Diego.
A 1-3 start or worse might lead Herm Edwards'
urge to throw the untested Croyle into the fire,
and unless the 24-year-old improves leaps and
bounds from his preseason showings, Kansas City's
playoff hopes will effectively end with the change.
An inexperienced quarterback and an offensive
line dotted with question marks could also hinder
the performance of Larry Johnson, which would
put the season in further potential peril. The
Chiefs will always play hard under Edwards and
will be consistently competitive, but a break-even
record may be the best-case scenario for a team
going through a transitional phase. At worst,
Kansas City will be fighting to avoid being passed
by the hated Raiders for third place in the AFC
West.
August 30, 2007, at 05:10 PM ET
WagerOnFootball.com - Kansas City Chiefs Predictions
The Kansas City Chiefs hoping to improve on a decent season last year and a playoff loss to the Indianapolis Colts weren't stagnant during a critical offseason, especially on defense. Coach Herm Edwards wants to create a solid mix of youth and experience to carry his club into the postseason for a second straight year. The Chiefs will have problems doing that this year though, as we don't expect them to finish ahead of Denver or San Diego in the AFC west. Expect 9-7 at best.
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