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NFL Week 6 Power Rankings

NFL Football - By: Q. Smyth
Wednesday, October 10th, 2007 - Page updated at 7:00pm
Senior Editor For WagerOnFootball.com Sportsbook Review




2007 NFL Football Power Ratings


2007 NFL Season

Each week during the heart of the NFL season, and once or twice during the NFL Preseason, we'll gather the troops around the roundtable and hash out the NFL Power rankings. We check out the stats, looks at the records, and, most importantly, we take a close, close look at the heart of each team. We encourage you to come back each week and see how the NFL Power Rankings have changed. NFL Power Rankings will be updated by Friday every week. Be sure to visit our home page for more articles and NFL analysis. Its with this knowledge that we can then deliver to you The NFL Power Rankings!

Wager On Football's 2007 NFL Power Rankings
This week's NFL Power rankings were determined by a poll of WageronFootball staff -- writers Q. Smyth, D. Bachman, and M. Pool.
Which team will be the surprise of the NFL in 2007? We know there will be at least one. It happens every year, an underrated NFL team that comes from nowhere to make the playoffs or win a division, driving the preseason prognosticators mad. A number of teams moved from the last time we ranked them after the 3rd week of the 2007/08 season.

With the parity the NFL provides nowadays, it's almost impossible to pop champagne like the '72 Dolphins and have a perfect season. This makes going against the spread perfectly even more unlikely. In Week 5 this theory held true as four out of five teams that were undefeated ATS (Green Bay, Tennessee, Arizona, Dallas) had their first loss on Sunday. How did losses to some of the top squads shake up our Week 6 NFL betting power rankings? Check out who rose and who fell below:

WagerOnFootball.com NFL Power Rankings

The 2007 NFL Week 6 Power Rankings. Click your favorite team for their NFL Team Resources Page.

Rank Team Power Ranking Comments & Notes Coming Soon...
1. New England Patriots You're looking at the only squad left in football undefeated ATS. If you were lucky enough to get them at -16.5 versus Cleveland, you avoided the push and cashed in. Next up, the Cowboys. And while the prospect of New England being -5 favorites on the road against the best team in the NFC does get my panties in a knot, this could be the last chance to get them as single-digit favorites.
2. Indianapolis Colts Seems like as long as they don’t have to play any division opponents (0-2 versus the AFC South), the Colts do just fine ATS.
3. Dallas Cowboys The Cowboys' chances to go 5-0 ATS sailed away with Tony Romo's first interception. They could fall again after this weekend. If Romo throws pick sixes against the Bills, what do you think will happen against the Patriots?
4. Pittsburgh Steelers When the Steelers are allowed to play "Steeler football" (run the rock, burn the clock), they're easy money ATS. Seattle let it happen.
5. Green Bay Packers A second-half collapse to the Bears proves you can only cover so many spreads without a solid running game (just 67.6 yards per game). The Pack have a bye week to find one.
6. Jacksonville Jaguars The run defense got its nasty back, holding the Chiefs to just 10 yards rushing off 10 carries! Jacksonville's defense has overshadowed QB David Garrard's impressive performances. The five-year veteran has four TDs, no INTs and a QB rating of 105.4.
7. Tennessee Titans The Titans had five turnovers and failed to cover the 8.5 points in their 20-13 win, but the defense looked like one of the best in the league. The Titans just need to get back controlling the clock on offense, and they'll be unstoppable ATS again.
8. Washington Redskins Why a seven-spot jump from our Week 4 rankings? The 'Skins held the high-flying Lions to just three points while QB Jason Campbell had a 125.3 QB rating. Every game Washington gets better.
9. Baltimore Ravens Once again, it looks as if the Ravens will have to compete without a consistent offense (they average 17.6 points per contest). The worst part is, besides their performance versus the Niners, the defense hasn't played much better (they've average 19.4 points against).
10. Seattle Seahawks RB Shaun Alexander is looking older and slower with every carry, and he now must play without recently-retired lead blocker Mack Strong. Things are going to get worse before they get better in Seattle.
11. San Diego Chargers Norv Turner finally went back to the lab and realized that more running + aggressive defense = Chargers wins and covers. If he sticks to the script, this team could prove profitable again.
12. Tampa Bay Bucs Can you blame the Bucs for being blown out of the water? They're a solid football team, but trying to cover at Indianapolis is a lot to ask. Unfortunately it doesn’t get easier. They face another AFC South opponent, the Tennessee Titans, this weekend.
13. Arizona Cardinals It sucks that a half point got the Cardinals their first loss ATS. And it sucks that Matt Leinart will miss the rest of the season with a broken collarbone. But who isn't a little happy that Kurt Warner is taking over this potentially explosive offense?
14. New York Giants Antonio Pierce may have been childish to use an air horn to avoid questions about the Giants' lagging defense. But it looks like it also woke them up. Since allowing 40 points per game in Weeks 1 and 2 the Giants have held opponents to 14.6 points per game.
15. Chicago Bears Finally the Bears' defense showed up. Better yet Brian Griese looked like the steady signal-caller they've been lacking. Unfortunately their running game (ranked 27th) continues to struggle.
16. Houston Texans The loss of Ahman Green and Andre Johnson has hurt this team ATS (lost two straight ATS). Green should return this weekend.
17. Carolina Panthers Carolina's cover at New Orleans was more about the Saints being the 'Aints than the Panthers being the old Panthers. Unless they get Steve Smith consistent touches, a cover ATS from now on will feel like a fluke.
18. Detroit Lions The fact that the Detroit offense was put to bed so easily by Washington should be scary for bettors.
19. Denver Broncos Their defense is soft, their QB looks high and their running back is high. For the first time in the Mike Shanahan era, the Broncos are in disarray.
20. Oakland Raiders With no game in Week 5, the Raiders stay put at 12. They get a chance to prove how good they can be ATS as 10-point 'dogs at San Diego. Hopefully they keep scoring. They've been a perfect over play (4-0 OU) so far.
21. San Francisco 49ers They covered, but this team won’t go far if they continue to struggle on offense (12.6 points per game average).
22. Philadelphia Eagles Donovan McNabb was pummeled in Week 4 without RB Brian Westbrook to dump off to. The Pro-Bowl back should be ready to go this weekend after a much-needed bye week.
23. Cincinnati Bengals The Bengals should have Rudi Johnson back after the bye, but they'll stay inconsistent ATS as long as the defense struggles (they allowed a league worst 32.3 points per game).
24. Cleveland Browns The fact they were able to put up 17 points, and push against the Patriots, proves this team is a solid bet. 
25. Kansas City Chiefs I don't care how many defenders are stacked against the run, 12 yards off of just nine carries for a top-three running back tells me coach Herm Edwards has lost faith in the run. And Johnson has lost faith in Edwards.
26. Buffalo Bills Were the Bills' six takeaways against the Cowboys a sign of ATS covers to come, or was it a classic case of overachieving under the flashing lights of Monday night?
27. Minnesota Vikings Minnesota coach Brad Childress had a whole week to figure out that the Vikings should run it at least 45 times per game. Minnesota is a six-point 'dog at Chicago this Sunday.
28. New York Jets QB Chad Pennington has thrown five INTs in two weeks and is 0-3-1 ATS this year. It's time for a change.
29. Atlanta Falcons The Falcons' defense and special teams did everything to give the offense a chance to beat the Titans at home. The best they could do is cover. Harrington's Week 5 struggles aside (87 passing yards, two INTs), they need a running game to cover more spreads.
30. New Orleans Saints It seems impossible that Drew Brees could go from MVP candidate to clipboard holder in one season. But the more INTs he throws (one TD and nine INTs in four games), the more it becomes reality.
31. St. Louis Rams They got their first cover as home 'dogs, but there won't be many more as long as Gus Frerotte and Brian Leonard are starting at QB and RB, respectively.
32. Miami Dolphins Finally a win Against The Spread anyways...LOL! However, their QB issues (Cleo Lemon?) make this team a futile wager.

 

More Articles from Q. Smyth...


 

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