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NFL Week 5 Power Rankings

NFL Football - By: Q. Smyth
Wednesday, October 2nd, 2007 - Page updated at 7:00pm
Senior Editor For WagerOnFootball.com Sportsbook Review




2007 NFL Football Power Ratings


2007 NFL Season

Each week during the heart of the NFL season, and once or twice during the NFL Preseason, we'll gather the troops around the roundtable and hash out the NFL Power rankings. We check out the stats, looks at the records, and, most importantly, we take a close, close look at the heart of each team. We encourage you to come back each week and see how the NFL Power Rankings have changed. NFL Power Rankings will be updated by Friday every week. Be sure to visit our home page for more articles and NFL analysis. Its with this knowledge that we can then deliver to you The NFL Power Rankings!

Wager On Football's 2007 NFL Power Rankings
This week's NFL Power rankings were determined by a poll of WageronFootball staff -- writers Q. Smyth, D. Bachman, and M. Pool.
Which team will be the surprise of the NFL in 2007? We know there will be at least one. It happens every year, an underrated NFL team that comes from nowhere to make the playoffs or win a division, driving the preseason prognosticators mad. A number of teams moved from the last time we ranked them after the 3rd week of the 2007/08 season.

Maybe it was the girls, booze, $20 lap dances and flashing lights on the Strip, but when placing a slew of sports bets while vacationing in Las Vegas, I seemed to forget the cardinal rule in sports betting: beware of the home underdog (aka homedog). Seven of nine homedogs came, saw and covered in Week 4. The upsets sent me home to cash advance my rent money while shaking up my NFL betting power rankings. Check out who rose and who fell in Week 5:

WagerOnFootball.com NFL Power Rankings

The 2007 NFL Week 5 Power Rankings. Click your favorite team for their NFL Team Resources Page.

Rank Team Power Ranking Comments & Notes Coming Soon...
1. Indianapolis Colts Although the Colts got back in bettors' good books with an easy double-digit cover versus the Denver Broncos, Marvin Harrison and Joseph Addai were hurt. Kenton Keith could make up for the loss of Addai, but with Harrison out, there's no telling how the Colts’ offense will play. In the six games he's missed in his career, the Colts are 2-4 ATS.
2. New England Patriots If you didn't bet on the Patriots earlier this season, time could be running out. They can only blow out so many teams until the spread starts looking like something you'd see between a Div. 1 and Div. 2 school.
3. Dallas Cowboys The Tony Romo/Brett Favre comparisons are making me sick, but as long as he keeps out-gunning opponents ATS and turning botched snaps into first downs, who can argue?
4. Green Bay Packers When you watch Brett Favre today compared to the last two seasons, the immediate conclusion is that he's no longer throwing darts into triple-covered windows. But with the team ranking second in passing attempts and last in rushing yards, the stats say he hasn't slowed down at all. Maybe we just forgot how good he really is.
5. Seattle Seahawks A 2-2 ATS record means they deserve to be at about the halfway point on the power rankings. However, buyers beware. Despite the blowout, the Seahawks continue to play at the level of their opponent.
6. Pittsburgh Steelers It looks like Cardinals coach Ken Whisenhunt was the first to figure out that the Steelers aren't the impressive air-it-out offense analysts said they would be. They shut down the run and put the offense on the shoulders of QB Ben Roethlisberger. The result was two picks and the Steelers' first loss of the season. It will be interesting to see whether other teams use this philosophy and if the Steelers can respond.
7. Tennessee Titans The Titans relished the role of being the underdog in oddsmakers' and analysts' eyes. But after their dominance on Monday Night Football, it will be interesting to see if they can cover now that they’re getting respect. First test, the Titans are -8.5 favorites at home versus the Falcons.
8. Jacksonville Jaguars With no game this weekend, the Jags stay put at No. 14 on the rankings. If they play the way they have after their Week 1 loss to Tennessee, they may be one of the few teams to break the homedog curse this year.
9. Tampa Bay Bucs Mistake-free football can take you far in the NFL. That's why the Buccaneers have managed to win and cover three games in a row this year. The Bucs have no INTs this season and have only one fumble lost. As long as they continue to play this way, the loss of Cadillac Williams shouldn't slow them down.
10. Denver Broncos When asked about the Broncos' problems near their opponents' goal line, Jay Cutler responded, "You're asking the wrong person. I run what's called." Can you smell an implosion between coach and QB coming soon?
11. Baltimore Ravens And to think I thought this team was a Super Bowl contender. This team looks old. The only bright spot is running back Willis Mcgahee.
12. Detroit Lions Does this sound familiar: An old, but resilient QB, a devastating group of wideouts and an offensive coordinator named Mike Martz all competing on AstroTurf. Sounds like Detroit is a Pro-Bowl running back away from becoming the new "greatest show on turf."
13. Washington Redskins Another squad coming off a bye week. The good news for those betting on the 'Skins is they are 9-2 ATS coming off the bye.
14. Carolina Panthers With Jake Delhomme out with an elbow injury, David Carr is the starter. And if Sunday's performance is any indication (19-41, 155 passing yards, 1 TD, 1 INT), the Panthers will not be a reliable bet for the rest of the season.
15. Arizona Cardinals The Cards are rotating QBs like they're middle relievers. The passing attack is stale despite having some of the best wideouts in the league. And franchise QB Matt Leinart is unhappy with his role of part-time passer. The good news is Edgerrin James is running well (top 10 in rushing with 354 yards. He's helped them keep games close.
16. San Diego Chargers The Chargers ran LaDainian Tomlinson, the reigning NFL MVP, 14 times in the first half last Sunday, but just six times in the second half. How can you bet on a team that’s this stupid?
17. Houston Texans Atlanta was going to win a game eventually and the Texans were their best shot with injuries at wideout and running back. If RB Ahman Green is able to return this Sunday, the Texans should get back on track and cover the -5.5 against Miami.
18. New York Giants Isn't this always the way with the Giants? Just when you think they're out, they pull themselves right back in. They've won and covered two games in a row and the reason is defense. After giving up 35 points per game in their first two games, they've allowed only 10 in their last two.
19. San Francisco 49ers One of the two homedogs (the other being Cincy) to not cover this weekend. The offense came to a grinding halt versus Seattle on Sunday when Alex Smith left the game. But was he really that good anyway?
20. Chicago Bears A mediocre running game, a mediocre passing game and an injury-ridden defense equals an early contender for flop of the year.
21. Kansas City Chiefs Larry Johnson was finally able to run the ball like a Pro-Bowler in the Chiefs' 30-16 win over San Diego, which is promising. But the Chargers haven't exactly been playing championship football. We'll see what they've really got versus the stifling run D of the Jaguars.
22. Philadelphia Eagles Okay, I know 12 sacks are way too much for the Eagles' offensive line to give up in a football game, but ask yourself this: would this have happened to the old Donovan McNabb?
23. Cincinnati Bengals Jamie Foxx called the Monday Night matchup between the Bengals and Patriots a "shootout in the jungle." Unfortunately, the Bengals brought a knife to a gun fight and were blown out of the water. They've got a bye week to regroup and get back to outscoring their competition like years past.
24. Oakland Raiders Could the Raiders finally be turning their franchise around? Daunte Culpepper looked good and the running game was effective. The only question that remains is, can they maintain momentum without LaMont Jordan?
25. Cleveland Browns The Browns' offense gets better and more explosive every week. Their ability to hang in shootouts has made them a solid play ATS since Week 2 and a great play when betting over on the total.
26. New York Jets The Jets were actually -3.5 favorites despite visiting the Bills on Sunday. What the Jets have shown oddsmakers to deserve those odds, I'll never know.
27. Minnesota Vikings My mancrush on Adrian Peterson continues, but by now you should be a fan, too. The kid is top five in rushing yards (383 yards). If they can get stable QB play, they could surprise teams later in the season.
28. Atlanta Falcons The Falcons have improved every game. The slow steady improvement is a perfect way to catch oddsmakers sleeping on them.
29. New Orleans Saints The Saints have had the bye week to find new and effective ways to get Marques Colson and Reggie Bush involved. We doubt it'll matter though. Their defense can’t guard anyone.
30. Buffalo Bills They beat the Jets and were able to cover the spread. But was it due to the impressive play of the offense or the fact they were playing the New York Jets?
31. Miami Dolphins Things couldn't get any worse for Miami. Trent Green sucks, Ted Ginn Jr. can't even produce on special teams and Daunte Culpepper got his "roll on" for five TDs versus their once-dominant defense.
32. St. Louis Rams The team is already riddled with injuries, and now Marc Bulger will be sitting with bruised ribs. Might be smart to bet against this team every week.

 

More Articles from Q. Smyth...


 

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