Monday Night Football Patriots vs Bengals Preview + Prediction

Monday Night Football - NFL Gambling - New England Patriots vs Cincinnati Bengals Preview

GAME: New England Patriots at Cincinnati Bengals
TIME: 8:30 p.m. (et)
VENUE: Paul Brown Stadium (65,515) -- Cincinnati, Ohio
ODDS: New England Patriots -8 1/2 // OverUnder 54
Television: ESPN Announcers: Mike Tirico, Ron Jaworski, Tony Kornheiser, Suzy Kolber and Michele Tafoya
All-Time Series: New England 12-8

I don't know about you but I'm fully expecting an offensive fireworks show tonight at Paul Brown Stadium for ESPN's monday night football (MNF). The Pats are averaging 38 PPG and their defense is looking dominant as always led by the rejuvinated Junior Seau. Don't forget they don't even have starters Rodney Harrison and DE Richard Seymour yet, what is this defense capable of when those two Pro Bowlers come back? New England is looking to replicate last year's 38-13 destruction in Cincinnati last season, and come into this game on a 3 game winning streak. New England has looked unstoppable offensively in the first three weeks, with the duo of quarterback Tom Brady and wideout Randy Moss sparking blowout wins over the Jets (38-14), Chargers (38-14), and Bills (38-7).

The Bengals are back at home coming off two straight losses, and last week lost on the road to the Seahawks 24-21. Rudi Johnson was injured in that game so does Marvin Lewis just decide to not even have Kenny Watson on the field tonight and just go 4-wide all night? I'd hope he does, but then I own Palmer and Chad Johnson in some fantasy leagues...LOL. The Bengals are not off to a strong start, having followed up an opening-night win over the Ravens with back-to-back losses to the Browns (51-45) and Seahawks (24-21).

The Patriots have won the past two meetings between these teams. In October 2006 New England came out on top 38-13 as 6-point road underdogs. The combined score of that game went OVER the posted total of 46 points. In December 2004 the Pats defeated Cincinnati 35-28, but didn't cover the 11-point home spread in the OVER play. Bet On The Game At BodogLife.com

INJURIES OF NOTE:

New England - Steve Neal G Out (shoulder) Kelley Washington WR Out (hamstring) Rosevelt Colvin LB Questionable (ankle) Randall Gay CB Questionable (thigh) Laurence Maroney RB Questionable (groin) Donte' Stallworth WR Questionable (knee) Vince Wilfork DT Questionable (knee) Mike Wright DE Questionable (knee) Billy Yates G Questionable (shoulder) Tom Brady QB Probable (right shoulder) Kevin Faulk RB Probable (team decision)

Cincinnati - Chris Henry WR Out Until November 11 (suspension) Rashad Jeanty LB Out (shin) Rudi Johnson RB Out (hamstring) Ethan Kilmer S Out (knee) Tab Perry WR Out (hamstring) Ahmad Brooks LB Doubtful (groin) Caleb Miller LB Doubtful (back) Stacy Andrews G Questionable (shoulder) Willie Anderson T Probable (foot) Eric Ghiaciuc C Probable (thumb) Shayne Graham K Probable (groin) T.J. Houshmandzadeh WR Probable (knee) Anthony Schlegel LB Probable (toe) Justin Smith DE Probable (foot)

A few trends to consider: The total has gone OVER in 8 of New England's last 9 games
New England is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games
New England is 8-1 ATS in its last 9 games
New England is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing Cincinnati
Cincinnati is 8-1 ATS in its last 9 games when playing New England
Cincinnati is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing at home against New England
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Cincinnati's last 5 games when playing New England
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Cincinnati's last 10 games

As indicated by the movement of the line, the betting public is favoring NEW ENGLAND in this game

As indicated by the movement of the total, the betting public is favoring the OVER in this game

All games in this series since 1992
CINCINNATI is 6-1 against the spread versus NEW ENGLAND since 1992
NEW ENGLAND is 5-2 straight up against CINCINNATI since 1992
4 of 7 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL since 1992

Games over the last 3 seasons
NEW ENGLAND is 1-0 against the spread versus CINCINNATI over the last 3 seasons
NEW ENGLAND is 1-0 straight up against CINCINNATI over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

All games played at CINCINNATI since 1992
CINCINNATI is 3-1 against the spread versus NEW ENGLAND since 1992
CINCINNATI is 2-2 straight up against NEW ENGLAND since 1992
3 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL since 1992

Games played at CINCINNATI over the last 3 seasons.
NEW ENGLAND is 1-0 against the spread versus CINCINNATI over the last 3 seasons
NEW ENGLAND is 1-0 straight up against CINCINNATI over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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Cappers Pick & Prediction: Patriots by 14 Take The Over

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