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2006 Jaguars Betting Preview

NFL News- August 2nd, 2006 8:00pm
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Sports Edge's profile of all 32 NFL teams continues today with the AFC South's Jacksonville Jaguars.

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VIP Odds

Jacksonville is 35:1 to win the Super Bowl, 17:1 to win the AFC Championship, and 4:1 to win the AFC South. Their Over / Under win total is 9.

Schedule

Jacksonville’s 2006 opponents had a record of 125-131 in 2005. That is tied for the 6th easiest in the AFC. The Jaguars get their bye-week after Week 5.

The Jaguars’ schedule looks to be a lot tougher this year than last. For starters, it won’t be as easy to go 4-0 against Houston and Tennessee this year and Indianapolis is always difficult to play twice. The Jaguars first four games are Dallas and Pittsburgh at home and Indianapolis and Washington on the road. We will know a lot more about this team after the first month.

Sports Edge Analysis

Quarterback, Byron Leftwich is entering his fourth season in the league, and is already playing at a pretty high level. Now, all he has to do is find a way to stay healthy for all 16 games. One thing for sure is that his leadership ability is unquestioned.

Leftwich is going to have to be at his best this year as he lost his top receiver, Jimmy Smith, to retirement. Matt Jones has the lead as the number one receiver, but he is only one year removed from playing quarterback in college. Reggie Williams and Ernest Wilford will battle for the other starting spot.

The running game is also on shaky ground right now as Fred Taylor is banged up once again. That could mean more carries for Greg Jones and rookie Maurice Drew. Jones is a solid runner between the tackles and Drew can be explosive, but the team is better off with Taylor getting 250 carries.

The Jaguars’ offensive line has a lot of moving parts, but it should be an above average unit. Khalif Barnes is solid at left tackle as is Chris Naeole at right guard. Veteran tackles, Mike Williams and Stockar McDougle are quality backups and give the line depth.

Jacksonville was 3rd in the AFC in yards allowed last year and 4th in points allowed. A lot of the credit goes to their big defensive tackles in Marcus Stroud and John Henderson. Teams are literally afraid to run the ball up the middle against Jacksonville and are forced to find other ways to attack their defense.

Having Stroud and Henderson occupying blockers allows Jacksonville’s fast linebackers to roam free and make tackles. Akin Ayodele was lost to Dallas via free agency, and he is likely to be replaced by Pat Thomas.

The secondary welcomes the addition of free agent cornerback Brian Williams from Minnesota. He will start opposite Rashean Mathis. They also get strong safety, Donovin Darius back from injury, and that will make teams wary about throwing over the middle.

When you look back at Jacksonville’s 2005 season, you have the success of their 12-4 regular season, and the embarrassment of their 28-3 playoff loss at New England. The reality is that all teams struggle in New England in January, especially the warm weather ones.

Jacksonville desperately needs to win home field advantage in the playoffs this year, at least for one round. The problem is that their schedule will not allow another 12-4 campaign, and they will still have trouble beating out Indianapolis for the division. The Jaguars will remain in the playoff hunt with a 10-6 record.

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Posted by miker at August 2, 2006 08:37 AM

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